Race 1A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 46.6% 26.1% 14.5% 7.1% 3.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jon Beery 7.8% 8.8% 13.1% 13.0% 15.1% 14.7% 13.3% 9.1% 4.5% 0.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.3% 18.1% 18.4% 16.3% 13.1% 10.9% 6.1% 2.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Donahue 8.8% 15.3% 16.5% 17.4% 14.8% 12.7% 7.2% 5.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Ryan Byrne 6.8% 9.1% 8.2% 12.6% 14.1% 15.9% 15.0% 10.6% 6.3% 1.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 10.4% 12.8% 14.9% 15.8% 15.7% 11.9% 11.2% 5.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Tom Charpentier 1.9% 2.7% 5.4% 6.4% 7.7% 10.5% 17.0% 21.8% 16.9% 9.7%
Natalie Fohl 0.7% 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 3.2% 5.4% 7.1% 11.1% 25.6% 41.1%
Christopher Hulse 1.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 8.5% 12.7% 13.2% 22.3% 17.7% 8.3%
John Fonte 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 9.0% 12.0% 25.3% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.