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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.52vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.20+2.90vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.30+0.27vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+0.11vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.64-0.70vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-2.90vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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4.9Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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3.27Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.3Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.1Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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5.8Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 33.0% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 27.2% | 19.9% |
| Mary Gamber | 16.4% | 22.5% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 11.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 9.4% |
| Arielle Morgan | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 10.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.7% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Autumn Hoover | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.