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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+7.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+4.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+3.27vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+2.83vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.55+5.18vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.81-1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.16-0.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-3.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.81-0.64vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-4.94vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-6.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-5.83vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University0.55-1.14vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.84vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.42-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.18Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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5.95Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.06Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.17Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.86Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| James Kennedy | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Marcos Darcy | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 21.5% | 46.4% |
| William Connelly | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.