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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.00+6.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+6.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+3.07vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+1.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69+0.32vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56-0.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-0.92vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98-0.38vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.55+0.22vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-4.97vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.81-6.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.16-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.42-1.68vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University0.55-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.04Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.32Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.22Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.92Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.02Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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14.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.32University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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13.03Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| James Kennedy | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 12.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Sommi | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 43.3% |
| William Connelly | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 24.8% | 27.4% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 16.8% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.