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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.28vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.00+5.77vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+3.04vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+1.54vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+3.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+1.42vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75-1.46vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-1.37vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.69-3.36vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-3.55vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.55-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.42-0.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.81-5.51vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University0.55-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.54Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.54Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.63Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.45Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.43Maine Maritime Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.42University of Rhode Island0.420.0%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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11.96Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 12.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Liz Dubovik | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Marcos Darcy | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 23.0% | 45.4% |
| William Connelly | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 25.2% | 26.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 18.3% | 23.2% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.