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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+4.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+4.27vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.70-0.07vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49-0.65vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.96vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+0.62vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-3.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.40-0.10vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.06vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.03-3.48vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.00vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.46-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.35Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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8.62Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.83Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 18.1% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 23.8% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 24.0% | 31.1% | 21.9% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 24.7% | 29.6% | 21.9% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 21.6% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.