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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+3.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+2.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+2.75vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.33+3.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+0.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79+0.82vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.43-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.40+1.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.03-1.28vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.75Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.9Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.88Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 16.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 20.2% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Riley Eger | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 23.5% | 28.9% | 22.2% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 53.1% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 32.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.