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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.62vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+3.62vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+2.03vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+2.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-0.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-2.77vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33-0.23vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-3.77vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.40+0.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.03-2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.01vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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5.62Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.23Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.77Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.87Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 22.6% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 22.8% | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 11.4% | 23.3% | 29.0% | 22.1% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 22.5% | 53.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 21.5% | 32.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.