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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+4.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.13+2.81vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.97+2.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.38+0.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.57-1.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.70-2.76vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.40+1.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.79-3.23vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.02vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03-3.39vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.14vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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5.81Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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5.25Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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4.24Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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7.79Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.02University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.86Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 21.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Rohr | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 22.9% | 32.8% | 20.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 53.9% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 31.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.