← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.43+2.84vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.79+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.57+0.73vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.97+1.27vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.13-0.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+4.82vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.38-2.87vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.33-1.11vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.03-1.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.40-0.92vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.70-7.59vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.11vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
-
4.84Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.71Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
4.73Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.27Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
-
5.87Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
11.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.13Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.89Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
8.69Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
-
10.08University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
-
4.41Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
-
12.89Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
-
12.02Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 21.3% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.0% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 22.3% | 27.9% | 20.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Rohr | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 22.8% | 21.1% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 22.6% | 53.6% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 23.0% | 30.9% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.