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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+0.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.87+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.36+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.12-1.70vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.05-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61University of Hawaii1.0555.8%1st Place
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3.53University of California at San Diego-0.877.6%1st Place
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3.92University of California at San Diego-1.364.9%1st Place
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2.3University of Hawaii0.1225.9%1st Place
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3.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.055.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 55.8% | 29.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bussey | 7.6% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 27.7% | 27.1% |
| Claire Diaco | 4.9% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 28.2% | 40.9% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 25.9% | 36.1% | 23.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Samantha Katz | 5.8% | 11.7% | 23.4% | 30.6% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.