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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.51vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.75+2.08vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.30+0.25vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43-0.92vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.20-0.01vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.64-1.69vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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4.08Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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3.25Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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3.08Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.99Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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4.31Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.77Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 33.3% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 8.6% |
| Mary Gamber | 17.1% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 22.1% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 27.1% | 22.6% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% |
| Autumn Hoover | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.