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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+3.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.70+1.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.43+1.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+2.96vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.57-2.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.77vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.99vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.03-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.40-0.95vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.79-5.27vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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5.65Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.35Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.1Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.5Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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12.88Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.97Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 21.3% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 22.4% | 32.2% | 21.6% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Max Rohr | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 53.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 23.4% | 28.6% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.