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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+4.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+3.71vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+1.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+0.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.70-1.53vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.97-1.03vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.40+1.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.33-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03-3.36vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.13vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.2Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.16Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.47Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.71Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.64Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.87Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rizika | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 21.5% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 14.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Eger | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 24.8% | 20.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 23.3% | 33.2% | 20.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 53.9% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 32.1% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.