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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+3.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+1.67vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+1.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+1.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.70-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.40+2.80vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.43-2.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.33-1.05vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.71vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.03vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03-3.34vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.47Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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5.05Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.29Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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12.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.66Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.88Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 20.6% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 14.9% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 24.2% | 19.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Riley Eger | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 22.6% | 32.7% | 20.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 54.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 23.9% | 30.1% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.