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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+4.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+4.52vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+0.73vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+0.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13-0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.33+0.65vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.70-3.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.25vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.03-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.40-1.99vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.46-0.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.52Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.15Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.37Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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8.7Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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12.88Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Riley Eger | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 12.1% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Andersen | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 23.2% | 32.9% | 20.8% |
| Max Rohr | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 54.4% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 31.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.