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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+5.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.66vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+1.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+0.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.33+2.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38-0.71vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-2.50vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.74-3.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.25-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.40+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.27vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.21vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.49Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.5Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.1Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.79Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.27Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Gates | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 19.2% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 12.2% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Farrell | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Max Rohr | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 5.7% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% |
| Grace Olsen | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 23.7% | 15.1% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 22.1% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.