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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.70+3.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.38+3.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+1.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+2.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+0.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.25+2.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-3.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33-0.16vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.24+2.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.74-5.58vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.23vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-2.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.40-3.01vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.1Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.67Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.1Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.04Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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8.15Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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3.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.41Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.42Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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12.19Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Andersen | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 20.5% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 19.2% |
| Drake Lyon | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 24.6% | 36.1% |
| Grace Olsen | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Max Rohr | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 5.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.