← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.38+4.18vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.61+2.55vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.51+1.89vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.70+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.20vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.74-1.57vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.05-1.10vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+4.07vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.25-0.83vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-0.24+1.40vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.33-3.00vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.51-2.15vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.40-2.99vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.18Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.55Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
4.89Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
4.51Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
-
3.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
-
4.43Boston College2.740.2%1st Place
-
5.9Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
-
12.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.17Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.4Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.0Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
9.85Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
-
12.23Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 16.6% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 15.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 24.7% | 34.4% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 24.2% | 17.3% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Grace Olsen | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Max Rohr | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.