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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+4.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+2.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+1.69vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+0.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.25+2.21vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05-1.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33-0.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.51+0.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-5.49vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.40-1.94vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.24-1.73vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.77-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.23Boston College2.740.2%1st Place
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4.69Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
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5.04Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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8.21Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.86Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.51Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island0.400.0%1st Place
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11.27Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 15.3% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Gates | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Grace Olsen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 13.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 24.7% | 37.0% |
| Max Rohr | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
| Abe Kipnis | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 15.5% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 23.0% | 37.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.