Race 14B

central-series-savin-hill

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lizzy Hamilton 11.9% 10.7% 11.6% 12.5% 11.7% 11.8% 10.9% 9.0% 5.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Drake Lyon 13.6% 15.1% 12.3% 15.2% 12.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 8.2% 10.8% 11.2% 11.6% 11.4% 11.9% 12.8% 10.0% 6.5% 3.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 19.8% 16.9% 16.2% 12.6% 11.5% 9.5% 6.7% 3.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Jonathan Pope 13.0% 13.4% 13.1% 10.8% 12.1% 10.8% 11.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Zach Shapiro 3.4% 3.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.4% 8.0% 7.5% 11.4% 17.1% 14.2% 11.6% 6.4% 1.5%
Samuel Campbell 4.6% 3.4% 4.5% 6.4% 5.6% 7.5% 7.3% 13.6% 15.6% 14.7% 10.2% 5.3% 1.3%
Sam Gates 7.0% 9.0% 7.3% 7.8% 10.0% 11.4% 13.0% 14.4% 10.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Grace Olsen 1.6% 1.5% 2.7% 2.0% 3.7% 3.3% 3.9% 6.1% 10.1% 18.9% 20.5% 16.9% 8.8%
Quinn Andersen 14.7% 14.2% 14.3% 11.5% 11.1% 10.7% 8.6% 7.3% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 7.0% 13.3% 23.0% 45.4%
Max Rohr 1.1% 1.0% 1.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 5.3% 10.5% 14.9% 20.8% 19.7% 12.1%
Abe Kipnis 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 3.2% 5.6% 10.1% 16.6% 26.8% 30.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.