Race 15B

central-series-savin-hill

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rosalind Lesh 19.9% 16.8% 15.5% 13.7% 10.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 9.6% 10.6% 11.2% 10.7% 13.1% 11.6% 10.3% 8.9% 7.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Quinn Andersen 12.4% 14.8% 14.0% 12.9% 11.1% 11.6% 10.4% 5.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 11.7% 10.3% 12.3% 13.4% 11.7% 10.2% 11.0% 8.9% 6.3% 3.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Drake Lyon 15.7% 14.8% 13.5% 11.8% 12.1% 11.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Zach Shapiro 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 16.2% 16.1% 11.1% 6.7% 1.1%
Samuel Campbell 4.0% 3.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 5.7% 7.7% 13.8% 15.7% 15.0% 10.6% 5.4% 1.2%
Jonathan Pope 13.0% 13.1% 11.9% 12.2% 13.1% 11.2% 11.4% 7.6% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Gates 7.3% 7.4% 8.4% 8.0% 9.0% 11.7% 12.2% 13.3% 10.3% 7.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Grace Olsen 1.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 6.3% 11.0% 16.7% 21.1% 17.6% 8.5%
Max Rohr 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 2.1% 4.3% 2.8% 4.3% 7.5% 10.4% 15.8% 22.5% 18.5% 8.2%
Kelsey Delosh 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.9% 9.9% 20.5% 52.5%
Abe Kipnis 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 4.3% 4.6% 9.4% 17.0% 29.1% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.