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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.49vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+1.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.20+1.98vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.43-0.88vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.75-0.84vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.64-1.72vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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3.2Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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3.12Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.16Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.28Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.77Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 33.7% | 24.5% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mary Gamber | 18.0% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 22.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.8% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 1.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 9.8% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 10.9% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.