Race 16B

central-series-savin-hill

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rosalind Lesh 19.0% 17.2% 14.9% 14.1% 11.3% 10.7% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Drake Lyon 13.6% 14.7% 15.5% 12.5% 10.6% 10.0% 9.6% 7.0% 4.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 10.6% 11.0% 14.2% 11.5% 11.3% 11.7% 10.8% 9.4% 6.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Zach Shapiro 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.4% 9.7% 12.3% 15.3% 16.9% 11.3% 6.5% 1.5%
Dylan Farrell 11.3% 10.5% 10.1% 11.7% 11.2% 11.4% 11.4% 10.3% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Olsen 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 1.7% 4.1% 2.7% 4.3% 6.1% 13.0% 16.7% 21.8% 16.7% 7.2%
Quinn Andersen 15.2% 12.9% 13.2% 13.2% 12.6% 11.6% 7.4% 7.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Kelsey Delosh 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 6.0% 10.9% 21.4% 49.7%
Jonathan Pope 13.2% 12.8% 11.1% 11.3% 14.0% 10.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Campbell 4.2% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 5.7% 7.6% 10.5% 11.7% 15.3% 14.6% 10.8% 6.1% 1.4%
Sam Gates 7.0% 9.4% 7.7% 10.4% 9.2% 11.3% 13.3% 10.6% 9.1% 7.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Abe Kipnis 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.8% 5.4% 9.4% 16.3% 26.3% 30.5%
Max Rohr 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 4.0% 3.8% 6.3% 10.3% 15.3% 21.5% 21.2% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.