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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+7.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+4.33vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+7.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.83vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+5.55vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.72vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45+5.72vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+0.76vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65-1.36vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02+0.59vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.20vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.10-2.90vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.39vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-6.76vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.28vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.74-5.12vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.24-8.55vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.33Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.91Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.72SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.72Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.1George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.88Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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18.09Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 12.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.9% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 8.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| DJ Litts | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.