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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+7.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+6.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.59vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.90vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.82+1.89vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.10+4.52vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.39vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-0.26vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-2.81vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.74-1.22vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-5.72vs Predicted
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16Stanford University4.19-9.63vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-6.65vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.46vs Predicted
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19Hope College1.10-1.03vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.45-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.61College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.79Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.52George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.74Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.19Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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12.78Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.37Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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17.97Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
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14.11Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 5.3% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| DJ Litts | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 60.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.