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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+10.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+6.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.28vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.10+2.93vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65-0.50vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-4.27vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+3.03vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-1.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-2.67vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-5.11vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.13vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-7.95vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.57vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.74-6.28vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.49Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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6.35Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.73Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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14.03Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.87Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.43SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.72Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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18.1Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 10.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
| DJ Litts | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.