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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+4.38vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+1.81vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+4.18vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.10+5.36vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+3.24vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.74+4.56vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.47vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.82-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+0.48vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.20vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-0.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-4.47vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.72vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-8.67vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.18-7.12vs Predicted
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19Hampton University3.02-7.51vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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6.38Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.51SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.18Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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12.56Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.96Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.53Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.49Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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18.08Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| DJ Litts | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 12.5% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.