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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+5.39vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+8.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+5.89vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.05+6.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+1.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.34vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.41vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-0.87vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.15vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-6.16vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.74-2.31vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.10-4.82vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-6.68vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-3.90vs Predicted
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19Hampton University3.02-7.57vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.41SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.69Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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11.18George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.32Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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14.1Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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18.09Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Popp | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Mary Hall | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| DJ Litts | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.