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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+8.78vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.05+8.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+5.89vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.74+7.73vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36-0.13vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-0.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.49vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.02vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.10-0.55vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.17vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-6.44vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-7.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.71vs Predicted
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18Hampton University3.02-6.41vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.24-8.53vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.89Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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12.73Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.62Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.45George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.83SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.95Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.62College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.59Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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18.12Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 9.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| DJ Litts | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.