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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.79+1.55vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+1.21vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.75+1.13vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.64+0.28vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.49+0.92vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-2.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.20-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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3.21Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.28Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.92Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
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3.1Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.81Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Johnson | 31.8% | 24.8% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Mary Gamber | 17.9% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 10.4% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 9.7% |
| Arielle Morgan | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 10.8% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 54.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 20.8% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Tooker | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 27.7% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.