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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.78vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.52vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.53vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.78vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+4.76vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+1.00vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+1.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.70vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-0.14vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.74+1.03vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.10-1.43vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-5.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.57vs Predicted
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17Hampton University3.02-5.66vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.65-9.18vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-5.12vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.44Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.03Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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11.57George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.93Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.34Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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13.88Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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18.12Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Will Holz | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 5.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Michael Popp | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| DJ Litts | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.