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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+4.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+8.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+5.46vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36-0.18vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.74+6.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.16vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65-0.44vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-1.20vs Predicted
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14Hampton University3.02-2.51vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.10-3.75vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.38-6.10vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.74-8.83vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.45-3.97vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.18-8.27vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.43Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.1Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.49Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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11.25George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.9Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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14.03Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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18.09Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 5.5% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Mary Hall | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| DJ Litts | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.