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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.74vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.47vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.96vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+4.88vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+3.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.66vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.50vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+3.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-0.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-5.54vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.10-3.80vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.74-7.76vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.74-4.32vs Predicted
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18Hope College1.10+0.11vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-6.62vs Predicted
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20Hampton University3.02-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.47SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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6.65Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.42Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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14.01Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.03Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.2George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.68Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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18.11Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.69Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| DJ Litts | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 63.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.