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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.65vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+7.65vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+7.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+1.74vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.37vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+1.21vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.94vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-1.66vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45+2.20vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.74+0.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.79vs Predicted
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15Hampton University3.02-3.50vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-7.51vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.75vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.10-6.65vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.24-8.50vs Predicted
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20Hope College1.10-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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5.74Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.51Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.21Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.76Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.34Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.2Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.19Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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11.5Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.35George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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18.09Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Will Holz | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Mary Hall | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| DJ Litts | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 63.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.