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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+7.24vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.08vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+0.67vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.10+5.33vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+4.76vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-1.80vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+4.88vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.74+2.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-2.66vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.18vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.60vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.38-7.22vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-7.41vs Predicted
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19Hope College1.10-1.02vs Predicted
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20Hampton University3.02-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.08Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.39SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.33George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.88Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.1Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.59Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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17.98Hope College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.64Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Geoffrey Nelson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.5% |
| Mary Hall | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| DJ Litts | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 62.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.