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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+4.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.72+12.33vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+8.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+2.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.66vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+2.87vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.59vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.20-1.56vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.00+2.38vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.44-4.36vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-5.20vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-5.48vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.95-5.52vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-6.02vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.31-1.45vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.94vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-5.04vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-1.14-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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14.33Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.4SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.19Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.38Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.64Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.98Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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15.55University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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15.06Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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19.54University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 2.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Post | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Axel Sly | 8.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 2.6% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 1.2% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.