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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.22vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.20+6.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.20vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+6.93vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.89-0.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+0.85vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.44-0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.95+0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+4.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.33vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52+3.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-4.11vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.82vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.92-5.42vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.31-0.45vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-2.80vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.82-7.86vs Predicted
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19Hampton University2.00-5.68vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-1.14-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.58Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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5.85College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.27Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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15.11Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.18SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.58Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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15.55University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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14.2Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.32Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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19.54University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rees | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 2.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 27.6% | 4.4% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.