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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+4.73vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.25+6.17vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+7.20vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44+3.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.76vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19+0.30vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.00+4.30vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-2.78vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.80vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-4.22vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-3.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-8.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-2.76vs Predicted
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18Washington College1.52-2.95vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania1.31-3.43vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-1.14-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.2Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.56Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.3Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.78George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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13.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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7.52Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.24Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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15.05Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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15.57University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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19.53University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 1.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 2.5% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 28.2% | 4.1% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 87.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.