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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.07vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.45vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+6.17vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+1.72vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.44+2.42vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+2.59vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.29vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.00+4.20vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63+4.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-2.54vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72+1.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.73-3.71vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-5.14vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.31-0.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-3.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.92vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-1.14+0.49vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.67-13.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.45George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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5.72College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.53Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.29Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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13.2Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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14.65Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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14.55Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.29Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.86Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.48University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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13.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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19.49University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 2.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 1.9% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 27.5% | 4.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 87.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.