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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.44+6.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+5.08vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.82+7.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.49vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+3.62vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.95+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.68vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-1.57vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.83vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.73-1.40vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.61vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.63+0.57vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.06vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.72-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.31-2.34vs Predicted
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19Hampton University2.00-5.84vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-1.14-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.08Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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5.92College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.17SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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14.57Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.16Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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15.66University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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13.16Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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19.54University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Sly | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Rees | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 2.8% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 2.2% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 28.5% | 4.4% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 0.8% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.