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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+4.78vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+5.44vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+3.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.51vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.00+7.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.38vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+0.95vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.92+0.53vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.39vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-2.42vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-3.32vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-5.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72+0.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.31-0.53vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.44vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.82-7.87vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.95-9.59vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-1.14-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.39SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.51Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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13.48Hampton University2.000.0%1st Place
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12.38U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.53Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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14.39Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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13.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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15.47University of Pennsylvania1.310.0%1st Place
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14.56Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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19.55University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 2.5% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 1.0% |
| Jonathon Joyce | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 27.0% | 4.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zach Nerod | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.