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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.30+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.79+0.50vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+0.05vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+0.15vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.64-0.66vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.20-1.06vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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2.5University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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3.05Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.15Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.34Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.94Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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5.81Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Gamber | 20.2% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 30.9% | 26.7% | 19.9% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 21.1% | 20.9% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Joan Boyle | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 8.3% |
| Arielle Morgan | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 11.1% |
| Amanda Tooker | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 25.5% | 21.7% |
| Autumn Hoover | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.