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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.51+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-0.72+0.79vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.92+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74University of Hawaii0.5151.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Hawaii-0.7218.8%1st Place
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3.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.1711.8%1st Place
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4.11University of California at San Diego-1.925.0%1st Place
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3.07University of California at San Diego-0.9013.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 51.3% | 28.6% | 15.2% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Shaeffer | 18.8% | 24.6% | 25.2% | 22.1% | 9.3% |
| Mira Shupe | 11.8% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 28.8% | 20.3% |
| Diana Vins | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 54.9% |
| Emma Kalway | 13.1% | 22.1% | 24.5% | 25.4% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.