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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo2.44+2.33vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.47+4.64vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.35+4.01vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.85+4.82vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.09+3.23vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.49+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.94+1.41vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.80vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology0.25+2.05vs Predicted
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11Colgate University1.10-1.81vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy0.51-1.70vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.56-6.58vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College0.25-2.91vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.18-7.24vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-0.87-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Buffalo2.440.2%1st Place
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7.64Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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8.01Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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9.82Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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9.23Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.49Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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9.8SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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12.05Rochester Institute of Technology0.250.0%1st Place
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9.19Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.82Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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7.42Webb Institute1.560.1%1st Place
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12.09Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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8.76Queen's University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.12Rutgers University-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 24.2% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Orr | 16.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| John Shanahan | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Seitz | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Robert Whitaker | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Rochon | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Daniel Christiani | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 9.7% |
| Sara Klik | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Danko | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Casey Brown | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 11.6% |
| Zachary Baum | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Audrey Meehan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.