← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.12vs Predicted
-
2Webb Institute2.29+1.70vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.38+0.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.75+3.79vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+3.60vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy1.14+0.79vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University1.03+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University1.65-2.89vs Predicted
-
9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+2.40vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.55-1.65vs Predicted
-
11Penn State University-0.78+1.54vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-0.22-1.25vs Predicted
-
13Rutgers University-1.25+0.71vs Predicted
-
14Ocean County College-0.51-2.21vs Predicted
-
15Colgate University-0.40-3.69vs Predicted
-
16Monmouth University-0.72-3.64vs Predicted
-
17University of Rochester-1.83-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
3.7Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
-
3.57Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
-
7.79University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.6Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
-
6.79U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
-
7.01Queen's University1.030.1%1st Place
-
5.11Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
11.4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
-
8.35Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.54Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
10.75Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
13.71Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.79Ocean County College-0.510.0%1st Place
-
11.31Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
12.36Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
15.08University of Rochester-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 23.4% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 17.6% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 19.8% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Munger | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clifton Kartner | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 8.6% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 21.1% |
| Ted III | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| James Emery | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.