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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.46vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy1.14+3.69vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.75+2.71vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+2.86vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.51+4.67vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.03-1.16vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+2.40vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.82vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.40+0.43vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.22-1.22vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.55-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-1.83+1.03vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.25-1.37vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.78-3.46vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.72-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.11SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Military Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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3.83Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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7.71University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.86Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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11.67Ocean County College-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.84Queen's University1.030.1%1st Place
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11.4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.18Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.43Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.78Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.49Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Rochester-1.830.0%1st Place
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13.63Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.54Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.35Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 21.5% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 26.0% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 17.7% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Munger | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ted III | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Clifton Kartner | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Grasso | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| James Emery | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 46.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.