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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+5.70vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+0.74vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+4.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy1.14+1.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.75vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-0.78+5.44vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.03-1.20vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.55-0.48vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+1.28vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.65-5.69vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.25+1.74vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-0.40-1.58vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.22-3.07vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.51-3.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.83-0.95vs Predicted
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17Monmouth University-0.72-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.7University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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3.74Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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8.77Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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3.25SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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12.44Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.8Queen's University1.030.1%1st Place
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8.52Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.28Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.31Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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13.74Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.42Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.93Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.67Ocean County College-0.510.0%1st Place
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15.05University of Rochester-1.830.0%1st Place
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12.38Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 20.8% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Stansky | 18.7% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Munger | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 23.1% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Clifton Kartner | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Teague | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Ted III | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| James Emery | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 45.9% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.