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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.42vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+6.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy1.14+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+3.70vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.63+2.97vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.65-0.70vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-0.40+4.29vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+3.07vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute2.29-5.17vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.93vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University-1.25+2.73vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.55-3.68vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78-0.51vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.22-3.14vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.51-3.39vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-0.72-3.69vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.83-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.51Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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7.97Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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5.3Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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11.29Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.07Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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3.83Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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3.07SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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13.73Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.32Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.49Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.86Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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11.61Ocean County College-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.31Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Rochester-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 22.7% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Munger | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Peter Teague | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Cody Stansky | 15.4% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 26.6% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 23.3% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Ted III | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Amanda Nuse | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| James Emery | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.