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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.64+3.25vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.30+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.79-0.50vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.20+1.02vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43-1.89vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-1.87vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.49-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Queen's University1.640.1%1st Place
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3.22Princeton University2.300.2%1st Place
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2.5University of Pennsylvania2.790.3%1st Place
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5.02Fordham University1.200.1%1st Place
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3.11Columbia University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.79Ocean County College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arielle Morgan | 9.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 11.3% |
| Mary Gamber | 19.0% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 33.3% | 22.8% | 19.9% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 28.5% | 21.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 19.9% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 8.6% |
| Autumn Hoover | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.