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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+2.38vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.46+6.49vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.40+8.26vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-0.22vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.55+3.19vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.83vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.51+4.60vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+3.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy1.14-2.29vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.63-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.75-3.20vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65-6.81vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78-0.52vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.22-3.12vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.72-2.79vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-1.83-0.97vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.25-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Cornell University2.380.2%1st Place
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8.49Rochester Institute of Technology0.460.0%1st Place
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11.26Colgate University-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.78Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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8.19Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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3.17SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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11.6Ocean County College-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.02Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Military Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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8.06Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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5.19Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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12.48Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.88Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.21Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
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15.03University of Rochester-1.830.0%1st Place
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13.75Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 24.8% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skylar Munger | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Burroughs | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Cody Stansky | 17.7% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 22.0% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted III | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Peter Teague | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Rory Mess | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.3% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| James Emery | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 17.4% | 46.3% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 23.0% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.