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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+4.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.25vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70+1.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03+0.29vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-2.17vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.85-1.85vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-5.32vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.18vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.23+0.55vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.03-0.08vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.09-1.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy3.020.0%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.29Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.15Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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15.55Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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15.92Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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15.76Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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17.24U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 25.9% | 31.7% | 22.1% | 8.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 15.8% | 29.0% | 31.7% | 13.6% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 22.2% | 27.8% | 27.9% | 11.7% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 17.9% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.